{"id":6499,"date":"2020-04-28T01:03:55","date_gmt":"2020-04-28T01:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/?page_id=6499"},"modified":"2020-05-04T20:28:08","modified_gmt":"2020-05-04T20:28:08","slug":"cranberries-and-a-changing-climate","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/grower-services\/workshops-and-meetings\/cranberries-and-a-changing-climate\/","title":{"rendered":"Cranberries and a Changing Climate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left\">This is the web\/text version of a Powerpoint presentation given at the University of Maine in Orono by Charles Armstrong, UMaine Extension&#8217;s Cranberry Professional, in 2016.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Slide 1 (Title Slide):<\/strong> &#8220;Cranberries and a Changing Climate&#8221; by Charles Armstrong, Cranberry Professional, University of Maine Cooperative Extension &#8211; 2016<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 2: Family Ericaceae<\/strong> [heather\/heath family]<br \/>\nGenus <em>Vaccinium<\/em>: examples include cranberry, blueberry, lingonberry, bilberry (whortleberry), cowberry, and huckleberry; the <em>Vaccinium<\/em> genus contains about 450 species in total, which are found mostly in the cooler areas of the Northern Hemisphere.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 3: What do cranberries like\/need? <\/strong>Indigenous to the Temperate Zone (<i>Vaccinium macrocarpon<\/i> &#8211; native only to North America); acidic pH (4.0 to 5.5); full sun (generally the more sun, the better); optimum growth occurs from 60\u00b0F to 80\u00b0F; cool temperatures when fruit are maturing (as temperature goes down, anthocyanin production goes up); access to abundant water (&#8216;boggy&#8217;\/peat habitats); cold winters (to satisfy the plant&#8217;s chilling requirement)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 4: Winter \u2018resting\u2019 period (chilling requirement) <\/strong>Cranberry plants have what is called a \u201cchilling requirement.\u201d Abnormal blossoming has been observed to take place in Massachusetts when plants received less than 1500 hours (~62 days) below 45\u00b0F during the winter. This resulted in abnormal blossoming called <strong>\u201cUmbrella Bloom\u201d<\/strong> in which the stem above the flowers does not grow or does not grow very much.\u00a0 There is also some evidence to suggest that the chilling hours may be lost during \u2018ups and downs\u2019 of temperatures that often occur in the Northeast in December and January, such that chilling hours may have to start accumulating all over again.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-6500\" src=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-300x220.jpg\" alt=\"A flowering cranberry stem showing the absence of any stem growth above the point where the flowers branch off (this is a condition called &quot;Umbrella Bloom&quot;)\" width=\"300\" height=\"220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-300x220.jpg 300w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-768x562.jpg 768w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-105x77.jpg 105w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-317x232.jpg 317w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-423x310.jpg 423w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-634x464.jpg 634w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-846x620.jpg 846w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom-951x697.jpg 951w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Umbrella-Bloom.jpg 994w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 320px) 85vw, (max-width: 768px) 67vw, (max-width: 1024px) 62vw,300px\" \/><\/a>Slide 5 (Photo):<\/strong> Photo showing the physiological condition in cranberry called &#8220;Umbrella Bloom&#8221; where the normal 1&#8243; to 2&#8243; of stem growth above the flowers is greatly reduced or entirely absent.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 6:<\/strong> Without the 1\u201d to 2\u201d of stem growth (with accompanying leaves), there is very little photosynthetic carbon available to the upright; thus, usually no more than just onecranberry per stem is obtained on those stems, when otherwise two or more berries per stem would be possible. Potentially a 50% yield reduction if going from 2 berries per stem to only 1 berry per stem.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 7: Cranberry [Insect] Pests: How do they overwinter? Egg stage<\/strong> (least vulnerable to cold) [cold temperatures &amp; cold duration]: Blackheaded fireworm, Chainspotted gemeter, Redheaded flea beetle, Cranberry blossomworm, Gypsy moth, Blunt-nosed leafhopper and Green spanworm; <strong>Pupal or Larval stages<\/strong> (a bit more vulnerable to cold): Cranberry tipworm (pupa), Cranberry fruitworm (larva), Brown spanworm (pupa), Big cranberry spanworm (pupa); <strong>Adult stage<\/strong> (even more vulnerable to cold): <strong>False armyworm (moths)<\/strong>, <strong>Cranberry weevils<\/strong>, and <strong>Winter moth<\/strong> &#8212; <strong>Climate change projections of milder and shorter winters for the northeast should aid in the survival of these three pests!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slides 8 and 9: Climate Projections for the Northeast &#8212; <\/strong>Figures taken from a report by the USDOT\u2019s Federal Highway Administration (using data from USGCRP): <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fhwa.dot.gov\/environment\/climate_change\/adaptation\/publications\/climate_effects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.fhwa.dot.gov\/environment\/climate_change\/adaptation\/publications\/climate_effects\/<\/a><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong> Temperature:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Near-term (2010-2040): <\/strong>~2.5\u00b0F rise in the annual average temperature; Slightly higher than 2\u00b0F rise in the spring and summer average; ~3.0\u00b0F to possibly 3.4\u00b0F rise in winter\u2019s average temperature<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mid-century (2040-2070):<\/strong> Between 3.8\u00b0F and 4.8\u00b0F rise in the annual average temperature; Similar rise (3.8\u00b0F to 4.8\u00b0F) for summer &amp; fall; 3.5 to 4.1\u00b0F for spring; 4.0\u00b0F to 5.4\u00b0F rise in winter\u2019s average temperature<\/li>\n<li><strong>End-of -century (2070-2100):<\/strong> Between 5.4\u00b0F and 9.0\u00b0F rise in the annual average temperature (similar rise for winter, summer, and fall) (range of 4.2 to 10.8\u00b0F); 5.0\u00b0F to 8.1\u00b0F rise in the spring average temperature; Shorter winters (snow season cut in half in Maine!)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rise in number of \u201cextreme heat days\u201d:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Near-term (2010-2040):<\/strong> Boston: 4 to 8 more days per year above 90\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mid-century (2040-2070):<\/strong> Boston: 12 to 29 more days per year above 90\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>End-of -century (2070-2100):<\/strong> Many US Northeast cities ~13 to 63 more days reaching 90\u00b0F compared to years 2010-2016<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Slide 10 <em>(heading slide)<\/em>: Likely Consequences<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 11: Higher Temperatures; Likely Consequences:<\/strong> Warmer\/earlier springs: Buds swelling sooner\/faster (sensitive to frost sooner than growers are accustomed to), and potentially more nights needing to protect from frost.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 12: Higher Temperatures; Likely Consequences: <\/strong>If warmer in late summer: Berry scalding &#8211; when berries are injured from the heat (already poses a challenge in NJ and MA), and poorer berry color resulting in less nutritious fruit (less anthocyanin) and reduced marketability.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 13: Higher Temperatures; Likely Consequences: <\/strong>Hotter summers: Heat stress\/injury to vines\/flowers (especially when 90\u00b0F +), and more days of <em>\u201ctoo hot for bees\u201d<\/em> (i.e. potentially fewer honeybees out pollinating!)<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 14: Bee Protection:<\/strong> Hotter summers will put added stress on the bees, so it will be more important than ever to consider bee toxicity when a pesticide is applied during any period when bees could be exposed. The list of products for cranberries is sure to look different in the future, but this is how it looks as of 2016 for &#8220;Relative Risk Quotient&#8221; which is the &#8216;use rate&#8217; of the product divided by its toxicity (the Relative Risk Quotient is shown in parentheses after each product name):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Greatest Relative Risk (Highly Toxic): Admire\u00ae (135), Success\u00ae (50), Lorsban\u00ae (25), Diazinon\u00ae (22), and Actara\u00ae (16)<\/li>\n<li>Moderate Relative Risk: Delegate\u00ae (much more toxic when it&#8217;s wet) (1.2), Assail\u00ae (0.01) and Avaunt\u00ae (0.01)<\/li>\n<li>Lowest Relative Risk: Intrepid\u00ae (0.002), Rimon\u00ae (0.00078), and Altacor\u00ae (0.00095)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Slide 15: Higher Temperatures; Likely Consequences: <\/strong>Shorter and milder winters: Chilling requirement more and more difficult to satisfy, giving rise possibly to more and more \u201cumbrella bloom\u201d; Better survival of insect pests, especially false armyworms, cranberry weevils, and winter moths . . . <em>but all the insect pests would stand to benefit.<\/em> <strong>Greater risk of lower yields!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 16: Higher Temperatures; Likely Consequences: <em>more<\/em> False armyworm, <em>more<\/em> Cranberry weevil, <em>more<\/em> Winter moth<br \/>\n<\/strong>Of all our cranberry pests, we should review or familiarize ourselves with the first two pests in particular since these two are already increasing in occurrence and have been a consistent problem on Maine cranberry beds yearly. Winter moth has yet to be discovered on any of our cranberries [in Maine] but that could change if it continues to spread to more towns and regions of the state; it \u2018is\u2019 a large problem on Massachusetts cranberry bogs. <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-6501\" src=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-300x224.jpg\" alt=\"Pair of false armyworm caterpillars beside a US dime for scale purposes\" width=\"300\" height=\"224\" srcset=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-300x224.jpg 300w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-1024x763.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-768x572.jpg 768w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-105x78.jpg 105w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-317x236.jpg 317w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-423x315.jpg 423w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-634x473.jpg 634w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-846x631.jpg 846w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-951x709.jpg 951w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms-500x375.jpg 500w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-FalseArmyworms.jpg 1064w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 320px) 85vw, (max-width: 768px) 67vw, (max-width: 1024px) 62vw,300px\" \/><\/a>Slide 17 (Photo):<\/strong> Photo of a pair of False Armyworm caterpillars next to a US dime for scale purposes.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 18:<\/strong> <em>So what&#8217;s so bad about False Armyworm?<br \/>\n<\/em><strong>Life Cycle:<\/strong> There is a single generation per year. The moths which have overwintered mate in the early spring. Each female moth can lay roughly 600 eggs in masses of sometimes 100 or more that they place on the cranberry stems or the undersides of the leaves in late April through early May. The eggs hatch typically in mid to late May. The caterpillars mature at the end of June, then move to the ground where they \u2018rest\u2019 for two to six weeks before pupating. The moths emerge from mid to late August through the end of September, and seek out protective places to spend the winter.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 19:<\/strong> <em>So what&#8217;s so bad about False Armyworm?<br \/>\n<\/em><strong>Cranberry Injury:<\/strong> <strong>Early Season (late May through early June):<\/strong> The caterpillars are the damaging stage, and when they are young, they can do great damage by chewing out the centers of the terminal buds before the new growth begins. <strong>Summer:<\/strong> The caterpillars grow hand in hand with the cranberry growth, eating more and more as they increase in size and feed on leaves, buds, and flowers, eventually reaching 1.5-2\u201d in length at maturity. Upon reaching their larger size of 1\u201d or more, they will begin to feed primarily if not exclusively at night in order to avoid being seen by predators.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 20: False Armyworm Management: <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sweeping: <\/strong>Sweep for the young larvae with a 12\u201d-diameter sweep net starting around May 23rd in Maine; preferably earlier in warmer parts of the state. Action Threshold is 4.5 to 7 larvae per 25 sweeps, depending on cranberry fruit price and individual comfort level; traditional threshold is 4.5; Early detection is important!<\/li>\n<li><strong>The \u2018Late Water\u2019 Flood is <em>very<\/em> effective!:<\/strong> This flood, applied starting around April 21st \u2013 April 26th, controls False armyworm, at least in Massachusetts if not also in Maine. It is a 30-day spring reflood applied several weeks after the winter flood has been removed and before the plants have fully lost their dormancy color.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spray Choices (as of 2016):<\/strong> Altacor\u00ae, Confirm\u00ae, Intrepid\u00ae, Diazinon\u00ae, Lorsban\u00ae, Hatchet\u00ae, Orthene\u00ae, Sevin\u00ae, Delegate\u00ae, Avaunt\u00ae, <em>Bt <\/em>and Entrust\u00ae<\/li>\n<li>Much more information about this pest may be found in UMass\u2019s Cranberry Insects of the Northeast book: <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.umass.edu\/cranberry\/downloads\/Cranberry%20Insects%20of%20the%20NorthEast.Averill.Sylvia.Franklin.2000.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.umass.edu\/cranberry\/downloads\/Cranberry%20Insects%20of%20the%20NorthEast.Averill.Sylvia.Franklin.2000.pdf<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-6503\" src=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-300x226.jpg\" alt=\"Photo of five cranberry weevils crawling along the edge of a small glass jar (a baby food jar)\" width=\"300\" height=\"226\" srcset=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-300x226.jpg 300w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-1024x772.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-768x579.jpg 768w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-105x79.jpg 105w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-317x239.jpg 317w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-423x319.jpg 423w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-634x478.jpg 634w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-846x638.jpg 846w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-951x717.jpg 951w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils-500x375.jpg 500w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-CranberryWeevils.jpg 1057w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 320px) 85vw, (max-width: 768px) 67vw, (max-width: 1024px) 62vw,300px\" \/><\/a>Slide 21 (Photo):<\/strong> Photo of five cranberry weevils crawling along the edge of a small glass jar (a baby food jar), with text that says: Cranberry weevil adults, <em>Anthonomus musculus<\/em> (Say); The 2nd generation (\u201csummer generation\u201d) of this pest overwinters in the adult stage.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 22: <\/strong><em>So what\u2019s so bad about Cranberry weevils?<br \/>\n<\/em><strong>Cranberry Injury &#8212; Springtime:<\/strong> Weevils which have overwintered begin to move onto the beds from the surrounding uplands and will drill holes into old leaves and in the terminal buds. <strong>Mid-June through early July:<\/strong> The weevils mate, and move to the new cranberry growth, especially new terminal growth and new buds which can be damaged severely from their feeding holes. Flower buds that are damaged often fail to open, dry up, and then eventually fall to the ground. Eggs are deposited into the unopened blossom buds, where the subsequent weevil larvae develop. Females will chew on the pedicels after depositing their eggs, either severing them completely, or only partially, creating a point of weakness that often leads to the pedicel breaking off later on. Buds that remain attached but contain a larva turn from pink to a brownish-orange.<strong> In short, a heavy infestation can destroy much of the prospective crop due to blossom bud losses, and the brand new weevils emerging from them may also damage any berries that are present.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 23: Cranberry Weevil Management: <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sweeping:<\/strong> Sweep for the adults with a 12\u201d-diameter sweep net during warm, sunny parts of the day (~noon to 2 pm) when they are most active; During cold, wet or windy weather, they stay inactive on the bed floor; Experts at \u2018playing dead\u2019 so care must be taken not to overlook them; Action Threshold is 4.5 weevils per 25 sweeps in the spring; 9 weevils per 25 sweeps in the summer (\u2018summer\u2019 weevils are more robust, so harder to kill).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Flooding is <em>not<\/em> effective!:<\/strong> Cranberry weevil populations are not reduced noticeably by a winter flood or a \u2018Late Water\u2019 flood, presumably because the weevils are not present on the bed(s) during those periods.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spray Choices (as of 2016):<\/strong> Lorsban\u00ae, Avaunt\u00ae (Registered for spring populations only\u2014so no summer applications), Hatchet\u00ae, Actara\u00ae, Scorpion\u00ae, Venom\u00ae, Belay\u00ae (summer applications only, i.e. post-bloom; very high bee toxicity)<\/li>\n<li>Much more information about this pest may be found in UMass\u2019s Cranberry Insects of the Northeast book: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.umass.edu\/cranberry\/downloads\/Cranberry%20Insects%20of%20the%20NorthEast.Averill.Sylvia.Franklin.2000.pdf\">http:\/\/www.umass.edu\/cranberry\/downloads\/Cranberry%20Insects%20of%20the%20NorthEast.Averill.Sylvia.Franklin.2000.pdf<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Slide 24: Climate Projections for the Northeast &#8212; <\/strong>Figures taken from a report by the USDOT\u2019s Federal Highway Administration (using data from USGCRP): <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fhwa.dot.gov\/environment\/climate_change\/adaptation\/publications\/climate_effects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.fhwa.dot.gov\/environment\/climate_change\/adaptation\/publications\/climate_effects\/<\/a><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong> Precipitation: <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Near-term (2010-2040): <\/strong>Summer precip projected to increase by 2% (range of -1 to +6%); Single precip events likely to increase in intensity by ~7%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mid-century (2040-2070) (with \u201cbusiness as usual\u201d scenario): <\/strong>Summer precip up only 1 to 2% (least increase vs other seasons), but&#8230;. more than 8% rise in avg. amount of rain falling on any given day, and an 8-13% rise in amount during any 5-day period.<\/li>\n<li><strong>End-of-century (2070-2100) (with \u201cbusiness as usual\u201d scenario): <\/strong>Greatest precip increase will be during the winter (11-17%) (range of 4-27%) and increasingly in the form of<strong> rain versus snow.<\/strong> <em>Snow season for most of the Northeast reduced by 25 to 50%!<\/em> Summer still the least affected of the seasons (just 2% rise in precip), but the <em>intensity<\/em> of any particular precip event likely to increase by 12-13% on average. <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Slide 25 <em>(heading slide)<\/em>: Likely Consequences<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 26: Rise in precipitation and\/or its intensity (likely consequences): <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Winter<\/strong> (more rain vs snow): harder to keep layer of ice intact for protecting the plants;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Summer:<\/strong> A 2% rise in precipitation would likely have little impact to the crop, overall. But getting<em> less than<\/em> 3.2\u201d of total rainfall during June awards 1 point to the \u2018Keeping Quality Forecast Model\u2019 (out of 16 total points in the model) (fruit rot fungi thrive in warm and wet conditions); But, greater intensity? And its timing?: <strong>If a lot of rain falls <em>during bloom<\/em>, that could be very harmful:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Fruit rot infection occurs during bloom<\/li>\n<li>Flowers knocked off (hard rain or hail)<\/li>\n<li>Pollen washed away (less attractive to bees after)<\/li>\n<li>Bees don\u2019t work in moderate to heavy rain<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-6505\" src=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"Slide showing number of barrels of cranberries harvested in Maine annually from 1995 to 2014 (big drop between 2013 and 2014 by almost half)\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-105x79.jpg 105w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-317x238.jpg 317w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-423x317.jpg 423w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-634x476.jpg 634w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-846x635.jpg 846w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-951x714.jpg 951w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram-500x375.jpg 500w, https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/40\/2020\/04\/Slide-Image-Harvest-Histogram.jpg 1054w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 320px) 85vw, (max-width: 768px) 67vw, (max-width: 1024px) 62vw,300px\" \/><\/a>Slide 27: (Photo): <\/strong>Photo showing total barrels of cranberries harvested in Maine between 1995 and 2014, with a large drop in 2014 of more than half, with a question posed on the slide that asks: &#8220;What happened in 2014?&#8221; (the total dropped from 35,870 barrels in 2013 down to 15,428 barrels in 2014).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 28<\/strong> (suggests an answer to the question posed in slide 27): <strong>Answer:<\/strong> Too much rain during bloom!!! Bangor had 6.8\u201d of rain in July of 2014 (close to the record 7.25\u201d in 1983) and 3.43\u201d fell in just 24 hours from July 4th-5th when the plants were as much as 40% in bloom.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slide 29: Summary (Likely Consequences):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Increasing Temperature: <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Higher insect pest populations (especially false armyworms and cranberry weevils)<\/li>\n<li>Chilling requirement hard to obtain<\/li>\n<li>Poor berry color (less nutritious; less marketable)<\/li>\n<li>Loss of frost hardiness (more frost protection needed)<\/li>\n<li>Heat stress and berry scald (crop injury)<\/li>\n<li>Poor pollination (too hot for bees)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Increasing Precipitation:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Poor pollination \/ poor flower viability (if it occurs during bloom period)<\/li>\n<li>Higher fruit rot pressure and infection rates<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Slide 30:<\/strong> <strong>Further Study:<\/strong> Check out Cornell\u2019s Northeast Regional Climate Center at: http:\/\/www.nrcc.cornell.edu\/ Also, consider viewing the USDA report entitled: \u201cAdaptation Resources for Agriculture: Responding to Climate Variability and Change in the Midwest and Northeast.\u201d It is meant to help producers prepare for, cope with, and recover from extreme weather and uncertain climate conditions and may be found online at: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/adaptation_resources_workbook_ne_mw.pdf?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/adaptation_resources_workbook_ne_mw.pdf?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery<\/a><\/p>\n<p>University of Maine Cooperative Extension Pest Management Unit<br \/>\n17 Godfrey Drive Orono, ME 04473<br \/>\n207.581.3880 \u2022 charles.armstrong@maine.edu<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/ipm\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/ipm\/<\/a><br \/>\nThe University of Maine is an equal opportunity\/affirmative action institution<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Accompanying Questions to the Online Workshop: \u201cCranberries and a Changing Climate\u201d<br \/>\nby Charles Armstrong, Cranberry Professional \/ University of Maine Cooperative Extension<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Instructions:\u00a0 <\/strong>You can email the information being asked on this form, as well as your quiz answers (or <em>photos<\/em> of the completed papers) to Charles Armstrong at <a href=\"mailto:charles.armstrong@maine.edu\">charles.armstrong@maine.edu<\/a> or, alternatively, you can print out this completed page and your quiz answers, and mail to the Umaine Extension Diagnostic and Research Laboratory, c\/o Charles Armstrong, 17 Godfrey Drive, Orono, ME 04473.<\/p>\n<p><strong>License Information:<\/strong> (check all that apply and enter your license number <strong>if available<\/strong>)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Private License \u2013 Lic. #_______________<\/li>\n<li>Restricted Dealer \u2013 Lic. #______________<\/li>\n<li>Commercial Operator \u2013 Lic. #__________<\/li>\n<li>Commercial Master \u2013 Lic. #____________<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Applicator Information:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>NAME: <u>(last)_____________________<\/u>\u00a0 <u>_(first)____________ <\/u>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <u>\u00a0Jr.\/Sr.\/III etc\u00a0 _________<br \/>\n<\/u><br \/>\n<strong>Company\/Agency\/Farm:<\/strong> ___________________________________________________<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mailing Address:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><u>(Street)__________________\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/u>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<u>(City)____________<\/u>\u00a0\u00a0 <u>(State)_____ <\/u>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<u>(Zip)_________<br \/>\n<\/u><\/p>\n<p>Under penalty of law, by signing below I certify that I am the true and actual license holder named above.\u00a0 I understand that under no circumstances shall anyone but the above named individual sign below.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Signature:<\/strong> __________________________________________\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <strong>Date: <\/strong>___________<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3>Quiz Questions:<\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li>Cranberry plants in the northeastern US that have experienced less than 1500 hours during the winter months below 45\u00b0F would be expected to have which of the following conditions:\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 False Blossom Disease<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Red Leaf Spot<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Umbrella Bloom<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Upright Dieback<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>When the \u2018chilling requirement\u2019 of cranberries during the winter has not been achieved, one has the \u2018potential\u2019 to suffer a yield reduction that season of as much as:\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 10% to 25%<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 25% to 33%<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 33% to 50%<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 50% or more<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Which of these overwintering insect life stages is generally the least vulnerable to cold temperatures and\/or the duration of cold temperatures?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Egg stage<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Larval stage<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Pupal stage<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Adult stage<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> All species of spanworm in the US northeast overwinter as eggs.<\/li>\n<li>Which of these cranberry pests in the northeast should benefit more than any of the others listed here from milder and shorter winters, presumably?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Cranberry tipworm<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Blunt-nosed leafhopper<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Gypsy moth<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Cranberry fruitworm<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 Cranberry weevil<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> By the year 2050, if Boston were to experience 20 additional days above 90\u00b0F compared to now, climate change experts would not be terribly surprised.<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Warmer temperatures in September would aid in the darkening of the cranberry fruit (by increasing the level of anthocyanin in the berries).<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Warmer temperatures in the late part of the summer, when berries are present, could increase the risk of berry scald.<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Temperatures of 90\u00b0F and above during bloom can reduce the number of honeybees that are out pollinating.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Which of the following insecticides appears to be the safest to bees?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Admire\u00ae<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Altacor\u00ae<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Actara\u00ae<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Lorsban\u00ae<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 Delegate\u00ae<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Which of these cranberry pests in the Northeast overwinters as an adult?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Blunt-nosed leafhopper<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Redheaded flea beetle<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 False armyworm<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Humped green fruitworm<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 Cranberry blossomworm<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Which of the following is<strong><em> not<\/em><\/strong> true about the False armyworm?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 There is only a single generation per year.<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 The eggs are laid in masses.<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 The caterpillars do not cause much cranberry injury until very late in the season.<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 The \u2018traditional\u2019 Action Threshold (AT) is 4.5 larvae per 25 sweeps.<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 Once the caterpillars get to be large in size (~1\u201d long or longer), they will begin to feed primarily if not exclusively at night.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> False armyworm caterpillars will not feed on the cranberry blossoms.<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> The \u2018Late Water\u2019 flood, at least in Massachusetts, is effective enough to adequately control false armyworm.<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Cranberry weevil spends the winter as a pupa.<\/li>\n<li>Which one of the following statements is<strong> <u>false<\/u><\/strong>?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Eggs of cranberry weevil are deposited into the unopened cranberry flowers.<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 A heavy infestation of cranberry weevil has the potential of destroying \u201cmuch of the prospective crop\u201d for that season.<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Female cranberry weevils\u2014after depositing an egg inside the flower bud\u2014will then generally chew on the stem of the flower bud, either severing it completely or at least weakening it such that the flower bud falls off later on.<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 Cranberry weevils, when disturbed, are experts at \u2018playing dead,\u2019 making them difficult to find or see.<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 Flower buds that are damaged by cranberry weevil will usually go on to produce a cranberry in spite of the damage.<\/li>\n<li>F)\u00a0 Flooding is believed to be ineffective at controlling cranberry weevil.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Belay\u00ae may only be used post-bloom when targeting cranberry weevil because of its high bee toxicity.<\/li>\n<li>When are cranberry weevils most likely to be active and therefore more likely to be captured in one\u2019s sweepnet when monitoring for them?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Early in the morning, when it\u2019s not so hot<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Right around sunset<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Most anytime that it\u2019s windy<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 From around noontime to 2:00 pm or so, on warm, sunny days<\/li>\n<li>E)\u00a0 When it\u2019s dark outside (when they\u2019re the safest from predators)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Which one of the following statements is <u>true<\/u>?\n<ul>\n<li>A)\u00a0 Cranberry fruit rot fungi thrive in dry and hot conditions.<\/li>\n<li>B)\u00a0 Fruit rot infection actually occurs or begins during the blossom stage, so warm and rainy weather during this time is likely to favor the fruit rot infection process.<\/li>\n<li>C)\u00a0 Getting less than 3.2\u201d of total rainfall during the month of June awards 3 points to one\u2019s total score with regards to the Keeping Quality Forecast Model.<\/li>\n<li>D)\u00a0 An increase of 12 to 13% in the <em>intensity<\/em> of a summer rainfall event would be good for cranberries, even if it occurred during bloom.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>True or False:<\/strong> Under a \u201cbusiness as usual\u201d scenario, with more precipitation coming in the form of rain versus snow, winter for most of the northeast is expected to see a 25 to 50% reduction in the length of the snow season by the end of this century.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nAnswer Sheet for: \u201cCranberries and a Changing Climate\u201d University of Maine Cooperative Extension. Instructions:\u00a0 You can email your quiz answers (if that is an option for you) to Charles Armstrong at <a href=\"mailto:charles.armstrong@maine.edu\">charles.armstrong@maine.edu<\/a> or, alternatively, you can print out this page with your quiz answers indicated, and mail to the Umaine Extension Diagnostic and Research Laboratory, c\/o Charles Armstrong, 17 Godfrey Drive, Orono, ME 04473.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>YOUR NAME:\u00a0\u00a0 <u>_______________________________________<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>A score of at least 80% correct will earn you one pesticide credit towards your pesticide license.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For \u2018true\/false\u2019 questions, please write the entire word rather than just \u201cT\u201d or \u201cF\u201d so there is no confusion over which answer you mean.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<li>_____<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is the web\/text version of a Powerpoint presentation given at the University of Maine in Orono by Charles Armstrong, UMaine Extension&#8217;s Cranberry Professional, in 2016. Slide 1 (Title Slide): &#8220;Cranberries and a Changing Climate&#8221; by Charles Armstrong, Cranberry Professional, University of Maine Cooperative Extension &#8211; 2016 Slide 2: Family Ericaceae [heather\/heath family] Genus Vaccinium: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":0,"parent":993,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-6499","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cranberries and a Changing Climate - Cooperative Extension: Cranberries - University of Maine Cooperative Extension<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/extension.umaine.edu\/cranberries\/grower-services\/workshops-and-meetings\/cranberries-and-a-changing-climate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cranberries and a Changing Climate - Cooperative Extension: Cranberries - University of Maine Cooperative Extension\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is the web\/text version of a Powerpoint presentation given at the University of Maine in Orono by Charles Armstrong, UMaine Extension&#8217;s Cranberry Professional, in 2016. 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